Bitcoin slid below the $60,000 threshold on June 8, 2026, after a sharp sell‑off that analysts link to institutional withdrawals from spot bitcoin exchange‑traded funds (ETFs).

10x Research founder Markus Thielen said the decline was driven by a wave of redemptions following the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April, released on May 12.

Thielen’s client memo records that U.S.‑listed bitcoin ETFs recorded roughly $5.4 billion in net redemptions since the April CPI report. In the same period, Strategy, the largest corporate holder of bitcoin, accumulated about $2 billion worth of the cryptocurrency, making it one of the few significant buyers in the market.

"The market has misdiagnosed this sell‑off," Thielen wrote. "Strategy is not the problem." He argues that the focus on Strategy’s buying activity has distracted investors from the broader institutional trend.

The timing of the CPI data is significant. 10x’s economic model projects annual inflation at 4.3 percent, above the 3.8 percent reading for April and the Wall Street consensus of 4.2 percent. An inflation figure above 4 percent could reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep rates higher for longer or even consider additional hikes. Markets had entered 2026 with the expectation of multiple rate cuts, but a string of hotter‑than‑expected inflation and labor‑market data has led traders to price out easing.

Bitcoin’s recent plunge has left the asset technically oversold, but Thielen cautions against treating a short‑term bounce as the start of a sustained recovery. The firm expects a relief rally early in the week, but the move is likely to fade if the May CPI report surprises to the upside.

Beyond ETF flows, the broader crypto market has shown weak net activity. Stablecoins recorded roughly $1.7 billion of net outflows last week and $5.5 billion over the month, indicating capital leaving the sector. Bitcoin futures open interest has also fallen sharply as traders reduced exposure.

"ETF flows remain the key metric to watch to gauge bitcoin’s next move," Thielen said. "Institutional ETF flows are driving price. Follow the money, not the narrative."

In related market activity, 10x Research purchased 126,971 ETH last week, worth about $214 million at current prices. The acquisition brought the firm’s total crypto, cash and investment holdings to $9.9 billion, marking its biggest weekly purchase in 2026.

The combination of institutional redemptions, potential Fed tightening, and weak broader market flows paints a cautious picture for bitcoin. While the asset’s price may recover in the short term, the next CPI release on Wednesday will be a critical barometer. A reading above 4 percent could deepen the correction, whereas a lower figure might provide some relief.

As the market waits for the May CPI data, traders and investors are closely monitoring ETF inflows and outflows, stablecoin activity, and futures positions. The outcome will likely shape bitcoin’s trajectory for the remainder of the year.