On Thursday, Bitcoin broke through the $61,000 ceiling, snapping a multi‑day low near $58,200 and delivering its most robust session in over a week. The rally came even as U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a cumulative $8.5 billion in net outflows since May 6—a figure that Santiment analysts interpret as a sign of capitulation rather than the start of a new downtrend.

The price lift followed remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, who addressed the European Central Bank’s forum in Sintra, Portugal. Warsh noted that inflation risks had eased, a tone that many traders saw as a more dovish stance than the hawkish position that had sparked earlier ETF redemptions and a broader slide through the quarter. While no direct quote is available, reports indicate that his comments were perceived as a positive signal by market participants.

Bitcoin’s climb unfolded against a backdrop of global market turbulence. South Korea’s KOSPI index plunged 7.9% after Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix announced a combined $290 billion loss in market value amid concerns over AI chip demand. Meta Platforms added to uncertainty by revealing plans to sell spare computing capacity to external customers, raising questions about the pace of AI infrastructure deployment relative to real demand.

The fact that Bitcoin managed to hold gains through these events suggests that the asset is maintaining support above the $60,000 threshold. Santiment’s analysis frames the $8.5 billion redemption streak as a sentiment indicator: when investors withdraw at this scale, it often reflects the exit of weaker hands rather than the start of a new decline. The continued outflow streak therefore strengthens the case that Bitcoin is approaching a genuine bottom zone.

Looking ahead, traders are eyeing Friday’s U.S. payrolls report, which could influence the Federal Reserve’s policy stance. A strong jobs print would give the Fed cover to keep rates restrictive, potentially reigniting outflow pressure on Bitcoin. Conversely, a softer reading could revive expectations of rate cuts and extend the current relief rally.

The next key support level identified by market analysts is $40,000. According to FxPro’s chief market analyst Alex Kuptsikevich, if Bitcoin were to break below $60,000, the $40,000 floor would become the next critical zone. Thursday’s rally, which pushed the price back above $61,000, therefore increased the distance between the current price and that potential support.

Bitcoin’s price action remains influenced by a mix of macro‑economic signals, institutional flows, and global market sentiment. The ETF outflow data provides a useful gauge of institutional appetite, while comments from central bank officials and corporate announcements shape short‑term volatility.

In summary, Bitcoin’s recent breakout above $61,000 demonstrates resilience amid significant outflows from spot ETFs and global market uncertainty. The asset’s ability to maintain gains through a sharp decline in the Korean market and Meta’s AI‑related announcements suggests that current support levels are holding. The upcoming U.S. payrolls report will be a key catalyst for the next phase of price movement, with a strong print potentially tightening sentiment and a weak print likely extending the current rally.

As the market waits for the payrolls data, Bitcoin traders and investors will continue to monitor ETF redemption trends, central bank commentary, and global market developments to assess whether the asset is approaching a sustainable bottom or if further volatility is likely.